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Pharmacology Biochemistry and Behavior

Elsevier BV

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Pharmacology Biochemistry and Behavior's content profile, based on 17 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled single-ascending-dose study to identify a non-hallucinogenic dose of psilocybin in healthy adults.

Levy-Cooperman, N.; Sellers, E.; Glue, P.; Szeto, I.; Brown, D.; Jarecki-Smith, J.; Tyler, W. J.; McDonnell, M. B.

2026-07-19 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.16.26358273 medRxiv
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Psilocybin shows therapeutic promise for several psychiatric disorders, but the acute perceptual and cognitive alterations produced by conventional doses (10-25 mg) require in-clinic supervision, which limits scalability. Whether the therapeutically relevant pharmacology of psilocybin can be separated from its hallucinogenic activity remains unresolved. To address this gap, we conducted a Phase 1, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, single ascending dose study to characterize the safety, pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of low doses of psilocybin. Fifty-six healthy adults received a single oral dose of psilocybin (0.5, 1.0, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5 or 4.0 mg) or matching placebo across seven sequential cohorts, with each dose escalation reviewed by a Drug Safety Review Committee. All participants completed the study with no serious adverse events or discontinuations. Treatment-emergent adverse events were comparable to placebo and most prominently arose as somnolence. Plasma psilocin appeared rapidly with a median time to maximum concentration < 1 h with dose-proportional exposure and a short terminal half-life. Subjective drug effects were dose-related and became distinguishable from placebo at doses at or below 2.5 mg. Peak subjective ratings increased with dose, while any signs of hallucinations or altered-states scores remained low and not different than placebo. Psychophysiological engagement was confirmed by a clear dose-dependent pupillary dilation while cognitive performance (attention, vigilance, working memory, impulse control) showed no dose-dependent decrement and state anxiety did not increase at any dose. These findings indicate that the perceptible pharmacology of psilocybin can be dissociated from significant perceptual alterations and cognitive impairment at low doses. They further support controlled investigations in outpatient Phase 2 studies evaluating the safety and feasibility of repeated, self-administered low-dose psilocybin. ClinicalTrials.gov #NCT07710027

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The independent and joint effects of outdoor air pollution exposure and genetic risk on mental health trajectories during adolescence

Cattarinussi, G.; Zhang, Y.; Dazzan, P.; Rakesh, D.

2026-07-15 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.12.26357864 medRxiv
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Air pollution exposure has been associated with increased risk of developing mental health problems. It is possible that individuals at high genetic risk for psychopathology may be more vulnerable to these effects; however, this question remains to be investigated. We leveraged longitudinal data from n=10,620 participants from the Adolescent Brain Cognitive Development Study to first investigate sex-stratified associations of particulate matter (PM2.) exposure and genetic risk with mental health trajectories across 9-16 years including internalizing symptoms and psychotic like experiences (PLEs). Additionally, we tested whether genetic risk for schizophrenia (PRS-SCZ) and major depressive disorder (PRS-MDD) exacerbate the association with PM2. exposure and change in symptoms over time. PM2. exposure was associated with lower decreases in PLEs over time in females (p-FDR=0.005), with no effects on internalising symptom trajectories in either sex. Genetic influences were sex-specific, with higher PRS-SCZ and PRS-MDD linked to greater increases in internalising symptoms in females (p-FDR=0.009; p-FDR=0.022) and higher PRS-MDD associated with greater decreases in PLEs in males (p-FDR=0.001). In females we also observed an interaction between PM2. and PRS-MDD on PLEs trajectories (p-FDR=0.048) such that those with high genetic risk and high PM2.5 exposure demonstrated increases in PLEs over time. Our results suggest that PM2. exposure and polygenic risk for depression jointly shape mental health during adolescence. This underscores the potential of interventions aimed at lowering air pollution during sensitive periods of neurodevelopment in improving adolescent mental health.

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Reconsidering the case against risk prediction in self-harm: routinely collected health data distinguishes groups at higher and lower risk of adverse outcomes following paracetamol overdose

Oxley, J.; Schölin, L.; Brennan, G.; Anand, A.; Brett, J.; Eddleston, M.; Humphries, C.

2026-07-17 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358127 medRxiv
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Background. UK clinical guidance recommends that structured risk prediction tools and risk stratification should not be used in self-harm, to predict suicide or determine who is offered treatment. Underpinning this position is the premise that routinely collected health data contain no useful predictive signal, which has received little direct scrutiny. Objective. To test whether routinely collected electronic health record data can distinguish groups at higher and lower risk of severe outcomes following paracetamol overdose. Methods. We analysed 4,095 adults presenting to NHS Lothian emergency departments with paracetamol overdose (2017-2023). Elastic-net logistic regression was fitted to 37 routinely collected electronic health record features to predict a composite of death or mental health inpatient admission at 0-7, 8-30 and 31-365 days following attendance, evaluated on a held-out 20% test set with bootstrapping. Findings. Events occurred in 5.5% of patients at 0-7 days, 2.0% at 8-30 days and 7.9% at 31-365 days, dominated by mental health admission. Bootstrap AUROC 95% confidence intervals lay above 0.5 in every window (0.65-0.82, 0.63-0.90, 0.71-0.85): models ranked patients better than chance. Calibration slopes (1.04, 1.14, 1.07) were close to one. Ranking drew primarily on mental health-related features. Conclusions. Routinely collected health data carried predictive signal for severe outcomes after paracetamol overdose, although discrimination fell short of what is needed for individual-level clinical use. Clinical implications. These models are not proposed for clinical deployment; however, treating risk prediction as a settled question will redirect research efforts, potentially excluding this patient population from machine learning advances driving improvements in care in other medical specialties.

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Characterizing Adulterant and Polysubstance Use Research Priorities through Syringe Residue Analysis in Kentucky

McNealy, K. R.; Tolbert, P. T.; Ward, M.; Byczek, K.; Harpe, K.; Gipson, C. D.; Fallin-Bennet, A.; Vickers, R. A.

2026-07-20 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.07.17.26358092 medRxiv
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Polysubstance use is rising and linked to heightened overdose rates and increased treatment challenges, further exacerbated by increasing detection of adulterants (e.g., xylazine) in the street drug supply. Harm reduction groups provide sterile syringes in exchange for used ones, creating a unique opportunity to characterize prevalent polysubstance combinations and inform translational and preclinical research We analyzed residues from used syringes (N=3,168) obtained from several harm reduction organizations in Jefferson County, KY (Jan-Dec 2025) for the presence of substances using gas chromatography mass spectrometry (GC-MS). We classified compounds as adulterants (e.g., diphenhydramine [DPH]/Benadryl), byproducts/precursors of synthesis (e.g., 4-ANPP), and recreational drugs (e.g., meth). We excluded byproducts/precursors and determined the most frequent substance and pairs/trios containing one or more recreational substance. Results. Of 3,168 syringes, 2,522 (79.61%) tested positive for substances. Out of those positive, the top recreational substances were meth (n=1,387; 54.99%), fentanyl (n=1,220; 48.37%), and heroin (n=653; 25.89%). Top adulterants were DPH (n=1021; 40.48%), dimethyl sulfone (n=749; 29.69%), and lidocaine (n=736; 29.18%). The most common pairs were DPH+fentanyl (n=670; 26.57%), lidocaine+fentanyl (n=659; 26.13%), dimethyl sulfone+meth (n=621; 24.62%), and fentanyl+heroin (n=484; 19.19%). The most common trios were DPH+lidocaine+fentanyl (n=369; 14.63%), DPH+fentanyl+heroin (n=327; 12.97%), lidocaine+fentanyl+heroin (n=297; 11.77%), diphenhydramine+xylazine+fentanyl (n=273; 10.82%), and meth+lidocaine+fentanyl (n=262; 10.39%). Our findings highlight evolving patterns of multiple-opioid and opioid-stimulant polysubstance use, generating insights that can be rapidly applied to strengthen clinical, preclinical, and translational polysubstance research. These insights allow for investigations into biobehavioral mechanisms and consequences of emerging use patterns, accelerating development of novel therapeutics.

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Context-dependent facial-expression patterns during affective film viewing in patients with bipolar depression

Lee, E.; Sim, S. H.; Park, C.; Kim, H.; Ahn, W.-Y.; Park, C. H. K.

2026-07-21 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.19.26358451 medRxiv
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Background: Emotion dysregulation is a core feature of bipolar disorder (BD), yet its behavioral expression during depressive episodes, and potential differences between its types, BD-I and BD-II, remain unclear. This study used automated facial-expression analysis during naturalistic affective film viewing to examine subtype-specific and context-dependent emotional responding in bipolar depression. Methods: The sample included 135 participants: 69 healthy controls and 66 patients with BD (BD-I, 23; BD-II, 43). Participants viewed nine emotionally evocative film clips spanning negative, positive, neutral, and socially threatening contexts, while their facial expressions were continuously recorded and quantified using computer vision-based facial-expression analysis. Results: Patients with BD-I showed a distinct, context-dependent facial-expression profile, characterized by greater negative responses across multiple contexts than other groups. Specifically, they showed increased sadness during sad, reward, and amusing clips, and elevated anger during sad and neutral clips. In socially threatening contexts, BD-I participants showed a multivalent pattern of elevated anger, fear, and joy, suggesting poorly coordinated or context-incongruent affective expression. In contrast, BD-II participants did not differ significantly from healthy controls on any emotion, despite depressive symptom severity comparable to BD-I participants. Conclusions: These findings suggest that facial-expression patterns in bipolar depression differ across subtypes. BD-I may be characterized by heightened negative reactivity and altered context-appropriate modulation of emotional expression, whereas BD-II may not show comparable alterations in overt facial output. Automated facial-expression analysis during naturalistic stimulation may provide a useful behavioral marker for characterizing subtype-specific affective disturbance in bipolar depression and related psychopathology.

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Trends and variations in Lithium usage across care settings in England between 2015-2024

Schiffer, H.; Fisher, L.; Curtis, H. J.; Wood, C.; Brown, A. D.; Bacon, S. C.; Croker, R.; Goldacre, B.; MacKenna, B.; Speed, V.; Macdonald, O.

2026-07-17 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357641 medRxiv
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Lithium has been the gold standard for the treatment and prevention of relapse in bipolar disorder for over 60 years. Guidance from the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence states explicitly to 'offer lithium as a first-line, long-term pharmacological treatment for bipolar disorder'. Yet, in the last two decades its use has been in decline with clinicians favouring anticonvulsants or antipsychotics when treating this condition. In this study, we have used three openly available datasets containing prescribing data from primary and secondary care to explore trends in the use of lithium in England, showing both regional and temporal variance between 2015-2024. We have shown that lithium use declined in primary care by 20.9% in the last ten years (2015-2024) and 10.9% overall in the last five years (2019 to 2025). We have also shown how there is some regional variation in the source of lithium for patients, although the vast majority is prescribed in primary care. Further research into clinical behaviour is needed to understand what is driving the decrease in lithium usage, and what barriers and enablers may influence its use across the country.

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Intermittent theta burst stimulation modulates working memory-related theta-gamma coupling in adolescents with ADHD

Kavanaugh, B.; Vigne, M.; Legere, C.; Borden, Z.; Lynott, E.; Cheong, D.; Warren, A.; Acuff, W. L.; Tirrell, E.; Festa, E.; Jones, S.; Jones, R.; Spirito, A.; Carpenter, L.

2026-07-15 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.13.26357958 medRxiv
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Objective: Working memory (WM) deficits are a co-occurring feature to numerous neuropsychiatric disorders, particularly attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), and there remain no treatments that directly target WM. The coupling between the phase of theta band activity and amplitude of gamma band activity (i.e., TGC) is an established neural correlate of WM. However, no studies have examined WM-related TGC in ADHD or whether neuromodulation can modulate these oscillatory dynamics in youth. This set of studies examined the effects of intermittent theta burst stimulation (iTBS) to the left dorsolateral prefrontal cortex (DLPFC) and left posterior parietal cortex (PPC) on TGC in youth with ADHD. Methods: In two randomized, double-blind, sham-controlled crossover trials, adolescents with ADHD and clinically significant parent-reported WM symptoms first completed a single-session study comparing DLPFC versus PPC iTBS targeting (n = 47) and then a multi-session clinical trial comparing 10 sessions of active versus sham left DLPFC iTBS (n = 29). Participants completed a computerized visuospatial Sternberg WM task with concurrent electroencephalography (EEG) before and after the single sessions, as well as at baseline, midway through treatment, and approximately 24 hours after the final session within the multi-session trial. Phase-amplitude coupling between theta phase and gamma amplitude was quantified using the Kullback Leibler modulation index at frontoparietal electrodes. Linear mixed-effects models examined treatment effects and associations between change in TGC and WM status (including accuracy, reaction time, and clinical symptoms). Results: Across participants, lower TGC was associated with lower symptoms and better WM performance, including higher accuracy, faster and more consistent RT. Active iTBS increased frontoparietal TGC relative to sham stimulation, with effects observed both acutely after a single session and ~24 hours after multiple sessions. DLPFC-targeted iTBS increased TGC, whereas PPC-iTBS had no measurable effect. Change in TGC was associated with change in WM, such that a decrease in TGC was associated with faster RT and decreased RT variability. Higher baseline TGC was associated with greater improvement in WM. Active iTBS decoupled the TGC-WM association observed during sham iTBS, and greater electric field intensity of iTBS was associated with greater improvement in WM accuracy and greater decrease in TGC. Conclusions: Active iTBS to the left DLPFC modulated WM-related TGC in youth with ADHD. These findings provide preliminary evidence that neuromodulation may improve WW by modifying oscillatory dynamics within frontoparietal networks. Larger clinical trials with higher stimulation doses are needed to determine whether targeting oscillatory coupling represents a potential therapeutic strategy for WM deficits.

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Revisiting the link between childhood adversity and stress-sensitive brain regions in psychosis and bipolar disorder: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Petrova, T.; Tennifjord, A.; Cavero, D.; Holohan, A.; Kizilkaya, M.; Ebrahimian-Roodbari, A.; Lepreux, I.; Reimer, M.; Sideli, L.; Gadelrab, R.; Trotta, G.; Rodriguez, V.; Andreassen, O.; Klauser, P.; Alameda, L.; Aas, M.

2026-07-19 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.17.26358306 medRxiv
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Background Brain abnormalities related to childhood adversity (CA) have been reported across clinical presentations in psychotic disorder (PD) and bipolar disorder (BD). This systematic review and meta-analysis examined gray matter volume (GMV) alterations linked to CA in PD and BD. Methods A PRISMA-compliant systematic review was conducted (PROSPERO ID: CRD42022351133). The EMBASE, MEDLINE, and PsycINFO databases were searched from inception to June 2024 for studies investigating CA and structural brain imaging in PD and BD. Study quality was assessed with the Newcastle Ottawa Scale (NOS). Data were extracted and synthesized accounting for sex differences and CA subtypes with brain findings categorized by the presence and direction of associations. Meta-analyses were performed for hippocampal and amygdala volumes. Results In the systematic review (k = 29), 3,056 participants with PD and BD (mean age = 36.6; SD =16.1; 47% female), published between 2011 and 2023, were included. Study quality was fair, with high heterogeneity. Most studies reported significant negative associations between CA and GMV, especially in prefrontal regions, while findings for the hippocampus and amygdala were largely null or inconsistent. Meta-analyses of a study subset identified no significant association between CA and hemisphere-specific and combined volumes of the hippocampus (k = 5; p [&ge;] 8805; 0.66) or amygdala (k = 4; p [&ge;] 8805; 0.87). Conclusion CA was not consistently associated with hippocampal or amygdala volume alterations in PD and BD. More consistent evidence emerged for reduced GMV in prefrontal regions, suggesting that neurobiological impact of CA may be more robustly captured at the cortical level.

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Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis: Do Youth-Reported Psychosis Symptoms Predict Later Mental Health Diagnosis?

Shah, J. N.; Ameis, S. H.; Donato, C. A.; Wei, I.; Dabagh, Y. A.; Cleverley, K.; Courtney, D. B.; Foussias, G.; Kozloff, N.; Voineskos, A. N.; Wang, W.; Dickie, E. W.

2026-07-15 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.13.26357957 medRxiv
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Objective Psychosis spectrum symptoms (PSS) are common among children and youth. These symptoms may be clinically significant as studies indicate a heightened risk of mental health disorders, in general, as well as psychotic disorders, specifically, in youth that endorse PSS. This systematic review and meta-analysis investigates the longitudinal association between PSS in children and youth and subsequent mental health diagnosis. Methods A comprehensive search of Ovid Medline, PsycINFO, and EMBASE databases was conducted to identify longitudinal studies that: (i) assess PSS at a baseline timepoint, (ii) in individuals under 25 years, and (iii) assess mental health disorder diagnosis using a structured assessment at a later time point in the same sample. We conducted a meta-analysis and calculated pooled odds ratios (ORs) for mental health and psychotic disorders using random-effects models. Post-hoc meta-regressions were performed to examine the influence of a number of moderators on the relationship between earlier recorded PSS and subsequent mental health disorders or psychotic disorders. Results The search yielded 41 eligible studies of which 25 were included in the meta-analysis. Most included studies assessed PSS using brief self-report measures and recruited their samples from clinical or community settings. Among children and youth without an identified mental health diagnosis at baseline assessment, baseline PSS were associated with a 2-fold (OR = 2.07, CI = 1.61 - 2.66, I2 = 86.92%, p < 0.0001) increased risk of meeting diagnostic criteria for subsequent mental health disorder diagnosis and a 3-fold increased risk (OR = 3.11, CI = 2.11 - 4.58, (I2 = 60.93%, p < 0.0090) of meeting diagnostic criteria for a subsequent psychotic disorder diagnosis with a minimum 1 year follow-up time from baseline assessment. Meta-regression analysis indicated that study quality and sample size explained a substantial proportion of between-study heterogeneity for psychotic disorder outcomes. Conclusions Our results suggest that administration of simple self-report measures of PSS in both clinical and community settings may be helpful to identify children and youth at higher risk of subsequently meeting criteria for a mental disorder generally, and for a severe mental illness (i.e., psychotic disorder), specifically. Future longitudinal studies should focus on improving study design characteristics to increase confidence in identified longitudinal associations. The results of our work suggests that integration of self-report measures of PSS may be useful in a variety of settings to identify youth at increased risk of subsequent mental illness.

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Suicide Attempt Risk in Autism: A National EHR Study of 2.3 Million Individuals

Baker, M.; Virtosu, M.; Lam, W. Y.; De Lacy, N.

2026-07-18 psychiatry and clinical psychology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358168 medRxiv
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Background: Suicide attempts (SA) are elevated in individuals with autism spectrum disorder (ASD), but population-level data characterizing how SA prevalence varies across demographic and clinical subgroups - at the scale and granularity needed to inform evidence-based risk stratification - have been largely unavailable. This study examines SA prevalence across sex, age group, psychiatric comorbidity type, and substance use disorder subtype in the largest real-world ASD cohort to date. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cross-sectional analysis using Epic Cosmos electronic health record data from 2,311,171 individuals with ASD identified by International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification (ICD-10-CM) codes, spanning 2016-2025. SA prevalence was calculated with Wilson score 95% confidence intervals. Modified Poisson regression with robust variance estimation was used to estimate adjusted prevalence ratios (aPRs) for sex, age group, and psychiatric comorbidity. Unadjusted prevalence ratios (uPRs) were calculated separately for individual comorbidity types and substance use disorder subtypes. Results: Overall SA prevalence was 1.7% (38,160 individuals). Females showed higher SA prevalence than males (2.9% vs. 1.2%; aPR 1.61, 95% CI 1.35-1.92). SA prevalence peaked in the 15-24 age group overall (aPR 5.14, 95% CI 3.62-7.29), with sex-stratified analyses revealing that females peaked earlier (15-24 years; aPR 4.33, 95% CI 4.23-4.43) than males (25-34 years; aPR 6.08, 95% CI 5.05-7.31) - a sex-specific divergence in the timing of peak SA prevalence not previously documented in ASD. Having at least one psychiatric comorbidity was associated with a 30-fold higher SA prevalence (aPR 30.56, 95% CI 26.03-35.89), with the effect stronger in females (aPR 36.54, 95% CI 31.04-43.01) than males (aPR 27.77, 95% CI 22.65-34.06). Among comorbidity subtypes, substance-related disorders showed the highest crude SA prevalence (16.9%; uPR 134.20, 95% CI 67.68-266.10). Subtype-level characterization revealed SA prevalence ranging from 19.7% to 24.3% across all five substance use disorder subtypes examined, with stimulant use disorder showing the highest unadjusted prevalence ratio of any subtype (uPR 196.11, 95% CI 100.63-382.20). Conclusion: SA prevalence in ASD is markedly elevated relative to the general population and varies meaningfully by sex, age, and comorbidity profile in clinically important ways. Females carry a disproportionate SA burden relative to males, with peak vulnerability arriving earlier in adolescence; males peak later in young adulthood and remain at elevated risk into midlife. Psychiatric comorbidity - particularly substance use disorders - is associated with the largest relative elevations in SA prevalence. These population-level estimates are directly applicable to EHR-based risk stratification models and can inform the development of ASD-specific clinical decision support tools that concentrate surveillance and intervention on those at demonstrably elevated risk, rather than applying uniform approaches across a heterogeneous population.

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Multi-matrix copper exposure is associated with reduced olfactory bulb volume and odor sensitivity in adolescents

Invernizzi, A.; Rodriguez, M. A.; Saviola, F.; Marinelli, G. P.; Oluyemi, K.; Rechtman, E.; Corbo, D.; Renzetti, S.; Tang, C. Y.; Mascaro, L.; Ambrosi, C.; Gasparotti, R.; Smith, D.; Wright, R. O.; Lucchini, R. G.; Placidi, D.; van Thriel, C.; Horton, M.

2026-07-16 occupational and environmental health 10.64898/2026.07.13.26357935 medRxiv
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Copper (Cu) is an essential metal involved in neurobiological processes including energy metabolism and neurotransmission, yet dysregulated Cu levels may adversely affect brain health and olfactory performance. Although olfactory dysfunction has primarily been studied in older adults and neurodegenerative disease, adolescence is a critical period of brain maturation during which the olfactory system may be particularly vulnerable. This cross-sectional study examined associations between Cu exposure, olfactory bulb (OB) volume, and olfactory performance in 200 adolescents and young adults (64% female; ages 13 - 25) from the Public Health Impact of Metals Exposure cohort. Cu concentrations in blood, urine, hair, and saliva were measured using inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. T2-weighted magnetic resonance imaging scans estimated left, right, and total OB volumes using a three-stage deep learning pipeline. Olfactory performance was assessed using the Sniffin Sticks test. Weighted quantile sum regression evaluated associations between a Cu mixture index and OB outcomes, while standard linear regression models assessed individual Cu biomarkers. Models were adjusted for age and sex. A higher Cu index was associated with reduced left (Beta= -0.72, 95% CI [-1.42, -0.02]), right (Beta = -0.79, 95% CI [-1.43, -0.15]), and total OB volume (Beta= -1.55, 95% CI [-2.85, -0.25]), as well as lower odor threshold scores (Beta = -0.23, 95% CI [-0.42, -0.03]). Individual biomarkers were not independently associated with outcomes. These findings suggest that Cu exposure may adversely affect olfactory neurodevelopment during adolescence and highlight the importance of studying environmental exposures relevant to long-term neurological health.

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Multilevel Factors Associated with Nonresponse to Patient-Reported Outcome Measures in Routine Radiation Oncology Care

Liu, J. B.; Chen, Y.-J.; Edelen, M. O.; Pusic, A. L.; Martin, N. E.; Zeng, C.

2026-07-17 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358162 medRxiv
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Purpose: Nonresponse to routinely collected patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) threatens the representativeness of aggregated data. We characterized patient-, provider-, and clinic-level factors associated with PROMIS Global-10 nonresponse in routine radiation oncology care. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, all adults seen at five Mass General Brigham radiation oncology clinics over one year were included. The primary outcome was patient-level nonresponse, defined as never completing the portal-administered Global-10 versus completing it at least once. Using iterative mixed-effects logistic regression, we modeled patient-, provider-, and clinic-level factors. Results: Among 12,214 patients, 71 providers, and five clinics, patient- and appointment-level response rates were 35.4% and 10.9%, with patient-level response ranging nearly fivefold across clinics (12.8% to 66.2%). In Model 1, male sex, lower education, not working, and recent surgery had higher odds of nonresponse, and longer time since diagnosis lower odds. After provider- and clinic-level factors were added, patient sex, education, and employment became nonsignificant, whereas recent surgery (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.97) and longer time since diagnosis (aOR 0.46 for >12 months) persisted. A provider's historical collection rate was protective but attenuated at the clinic level. There, a later program launch (aOR 0.29) and higher historical collection rate (aOR 0.79) correlated with lower nonresponse, whereas academic versus community setting did not. Conclusions: Nonresponse to routinely collected PROMs is a multilevel phenomenon driven substantially by clinic-level implementation factors, not patient characteristics alone. Because response rate is only a proxy for representativeness, PROMs programs and PRO-based performance measures should prioritize representative collection over volume.

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Comparing different neuroimaging modalities for quantification of the cholinergic system in Parkinson's disease

d'Angremont, E.; Marschall, T. M.; Renken, R. J.; Sommer, I. E.

2026-07-17 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357522 medRxiv
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Introduction Parkinson's disease (PD) is a multifactorial disorder, affecting multiple neurotransmitter systems, including the cholinergic system. Cholinergic denervation is heterogeneous across patients and difficult to predict based on clinical presentation. In this study, we assessed the sensitivity of structural MRI (sMRI) and functional MRI (fMRI) to cholinergic degeneration related to PD and to cognitive functioning in PD. We compared our results to results from previously reported [18F]Fluoroethoxybenzovesamicol ([18F]FEOBV) PET imaging, which is considered the gold standard for cholinergic imaging. Methods 34 PD patients and 10 healthy controls underwent structural T1-weighted MRI. A subset of 14 patients and 9 controls also underwent resting-state fMRI. We extracted the bilateral volumes of the nucleus basalis of Meynert (NBM) from the sMRI images. Functional connectivity (FC) from the NBM to the cortex (NBM-FC) was determined using fMRI data. Principal component analysis (PCA) was applied to reduce the dimensionality of the NBM-FC images. We assessed performances for NBM-FC in distinguishing patients from controls using stepwise logistic regression. Similarly, NBM volume was used using logistic regression. Furthermore, the relation between these measures and cognitive function in several domains was investigated with (stepwise) linear regression. Leave-one-out cross validation (LOOCV) and bootstrapping was performed to assess robustness of the results. Results NBM-FC was well able to discriminate patients from controls with an AUC of 0.84 (95% CI: 0.62-1). NBM volume showed lower performance, but was still better than chance: AUC: 0.75 (95% CI: 0.57-0.93). Significant correlations were found between 1) cognition in the attentional domain and NBM-FC (r=0.63; p=.015) and 2) global cognition and NBM volume (r=0.55, p=.001). These results were inferior to those previously reported using [18F]FEOBV tracer uptake (see Chapter 6). Bootstrapping revealed that NBM volume of only the left hemisphere was stably related to PD diagnosis and global cognition in PD patients. We found that a lower NBM-FC in specific brain areas, including the fusiform gyrus, supramarginal gyrus and dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, was related to PD diagnosis. Bootstrapping revealed no stable NBM-FC pattern related to attention. Conclusion Although MRI results were slightly inferior to [18F]FEOBV PET data, MRI may provide a cheaper and more widely available alternative for cholinergic imaging. We recommend testing the utility of MRI as predictor and monitor of cholinergic treatment effect in a longitudinal study.

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Machine learning and data-driven models for predicting post-stroke dysphagia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Mohammadi Yazdi, S.; Motevaselian, M.; Khatami, S.; Radfar, N.; jourahmad, z.; Perez, H. A.

2026-07-17 neurology 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358113 medRxiv
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Background: Post-stroke dysphagia (PSD) contributes to aspiration, pneumonia, malnutrition, prolonged hospitalization and mortality. We evaluated the discrimination, validity and readiness of machine learning and data-driven prediction models for PSD-related outcomes. Methods: Following a prospectively registered protocol (PROSPERO CRD420261419259), we searched PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science Core Collection, CINAHL and CENTRAL from inception through June 7, 2026. Eligible studies developed or validated multivariable prediction models for PSD-related outcomes in adults with stroke. We used PROBAST and PROBAST+AI to assess risk of bias and applicability and TRIPOD+AI to evaluate reporting. Area under the curve (AUC) estimates were pooled on the logit scale with random-effects models. Results: Twenty-four studies were included and ten contributed to meta-analysis. Four studies predicting early or incident PSD yielded a pooled AUC of 0.94 (95% CI 0.60-0.99; I2 = 95.6%). Pooled AUCs were 0.84 (95% CI 0.71-0.92) for aspiration or penetration-aspiration and 0.89 (95% CI 0.24-1.00) for severe dysphagia. The exploratory analysis of all ten risk-prediction models produced an AUC of 0.90 (95% CI 0.80-0.95), but heterogeneity was substantial (I2 = 90.3%) and the prediction interval was 0.51-0.99. Every study had high risk of bias because of analysis-domain concerns; calibration and external validation were uncommon. Conclusions: Reported discrimination was often high, but the evidence does not establish reliable performance in care. Independent validation, calibration, complete model reporting and clinical-impact studies are needed before these models guide post-stroke swallowing care. Keywords: Post-stroke dysphagia; Stroke; Deglutition disorders; Machine learning; Clinical prediction model; Area under the curve; Meta-analysis

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How Do Nurses Make Clinical Decisions Via Remote Reviews: A Convergent Mixed-Methods Study

Zhang, Y.; Sutherland, S.; GREENWAY, K.; Stayt, L.

2026-07-17 nursing 10.64898/2026.07.15.26357946 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: Remote clinical reviews have become an integral component of contemporary nursing practice across community and acute care settings. Nurses increasingly make autonomous clinical decisions using telephone, video, and online/digital systems, often with limited sensory information and under conditions of uncertainty. However, empirical understanding of how nurses make clinical decisions via remote reviews remains limited. Aim: To explore and understand how registered nurses (RNs) make clinical decisions about patient care via remote reviews. Methods: A convergent mixed-methods design was employed. Quantitative data (analytic quantitative sample N=53) were collected using validated questionnaires that measured decision-making processes, physician-nurse collaboration, decision-making stress, and perceived decision-making ability. Qualitative data (N=23) were generated through semi-structured interviews. Data collection took place between October 2024 and April 2025. Quantitative data were analysed using descriptive statistics, correlation, and multiple regression. Qualitative data were analysed using framework analysis. Integration was achieved through pillar-building and theory-driven synthesis and illustrated by joint display tables. Results: Most nurses demonstrated a flexible decision-making style, integrating analytical and intuitive reasoning. Both analytical and intuitive processes were positively associated with perceived decision-making ability. Physician-nurse collaboration emerged as a strong predictor of decision-making confidence, while decision-related stress was not a significant predictor. Qualitative findings identified three themes: characteristics of remote review; making adaptive decisions shaped by both internal and external constraints and enablers; and external influencing factors. The integrated findings informed a theory-informed ICE framework to illustrate how nurses make clinical decisions via remote reviews. Conclusion: Remote clinical decision-making is a dynamic cognitive-environmental process rather than a purely individual cognitive act. The ICE framework conceptualises this interaction, extending existing decision-making theories to digitally mediated care. Impact: Understanding remote decision-making supports training design, clinical governance, and the development of Artificial Intelligence-enhanced decision-support tools grounded in ecological bounded rationality. Patient or Public Contribution: Patient and public representatives contributed to stakeholder discussions that informed the development of the interview topic guide and the theoretical model. Patients or members of the public were not involved in recruitment, data collection, analysis, interpretation of findings, or preparation of the manuscript. Keywords: clinical decision-making, remote reviews, telehealth, nursing, mixed methods, ecological bounded rationality

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Association between serum CEA levels and ctDNA-detected Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor mutations in lung adenocarcinoma

Roy, S.; Soroar, M. K. I.; Ara, H.; Nur, S. A.; Akanda, R. A.; Saha, S.; Alam, M. M.

2026-07-17 oncology 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358115 medRxiv
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Background with objective: Detecting EGFR mutations is critical for treating lung adenocarcinoma with highly effective targeted therapies. However, standard genetic testing is expensive, complex, and often unavailable in resource-limited settings like Bangladesh. Because elevated serum CEA has been linked to these genetic alterations, it could serve as an accessible screening tool. This study aims to evaluate the association between serum CEA levels and EGFR mutation status to determine if routine CEA testing can reliably predict these mutations and guide treatment. Methodology: In this cross-sectional analytical study, we recruited 58 patients with histologically confirmed treatment naive lung adenocarcinoma. The presence of EGFR mutations in the ctDNA was determined via ARMS (Amplification Refractory Mutation System) PCR. Patient data was statistically analyzed to assess the diagnostic correlation between serum CEA levels and the presence of EGFR mutations. Result: The overall EGFR mutation rate was 43.1% with exon 19 deletion (48%) and exon 21 mutations (44%) were the predominant types. Median serum CEA levels were significantly higher in patients with EGFR mutations compared to wild-type cases (14.6 ng/ml vs 2.8 ng/ml, p<0.001). A multivariate analysis revealed a 14% increased likelihood of an EGFR mutation for 1 ng/ml rise in serum CEA. Furthermore, serum CEA showed strong diagnostic accuracy for ctDNA samples at a 6.39 ng/ml cut-off (AUC 0.82, sensitivity 68.0%, specificity 84.8%). Conclusion: Serum CEA is a valuable, cost-effective, and non-invasive biomarker demonstrating significantly higher levels and strong diagnostic accuracy in EGFR-mutated lung adenocarcinoma compared to wild-type cases.

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An ancestry-matched Mendelian randomisation analysis of kidney function and heart failure subtypes in African ancestry populations

Gaye, N. D.; Diawara, A.

2026-07-17 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358145 medRxiv
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Chronic kidney disease and heart failure disproportionately burden populations of African ancestry, yet Mendelian randomisation (MR) studies of the causal relationship between kidney function and heart failure subtypes have been conducted exclusively in European ancestry populations. We performed a forward two-sample MR analysis to evaluate the causal effect of genetically predicted estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) on heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) in individuals of African ancestry. Genetic instruments were selected from an African ancestry eGFR genome-wide association study (N = 67,943) at genome-wide significance, with linkage disequilibrium clumping using an African ancestry reference panel. Heart failure subtype summary statistics were obtained from the Million Veteran Program (HFpEF: 5,379 cases / 113,041 controls; HFrEF: 9,104 cases / 109,632 controls). Six independent SNPs (F-statistics 30.5 &#8211 107.3; R&#178 = 0.62%) were retained as instruments. The primary inverse-variance weighted analysis provided no evidence of a causal effect of eGFR on HFpEF (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.80 &#8211 1.06, p = 0.248) or HFrEF (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.78 &#8211 1.23, p = 0.878). Sensitivity analyses were directionally consistent. There was no evidence of heterogeneity or directional pleiotropy. Minimum detectable effects at 80% power were OR 1.28 for HFpEF and OR 1.22 for HFrEF. These null findings should be interpreted as inconclusive given current power constraints; larger ancestry-matched studies are needed.

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Elevated BrainAGE precedes cognitive impairment and improves prediction of future cognitive decline

Moradi, E.; Dahnke, R.; Gaser, C.; Rikkonen, T.; Kroger, H.; Vaananen, S.; Solomon, A.; Sund, R.; Tohka, J.

2026-07-17 health informatics 10.64898/2026.07.15.26358150 medRxiv
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Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) derived brain age varies substantially between individuals, but it remains unclear whether early deviations from normal brain ageing precede future cognitive decline and whether they provide predictive value beyond conventional MRI measures. Here, we investigated whether MRI-derived brain age gap estimation (BrainAGE) identifies early structural brain ageing differences among cognitively normal individuals who later develop mild cognitive impairment (MCI) or dementia. We analysed longitudinal structural MRI data from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) and replicated the main findings in the population-based Kuopio Osteoporosis Risk Factor and Prevention Study (OSTPRE). Individuals who later converted to MCI or dementia had higher BrainAGE values several years before diagnosis and, in ADNI, showed steeper longitudinal increases than stable individuals. Elevated BrainAGE values were also associated with increased risk of future conversion to MCI in cognitively healthy individuals and faster subsequent memory decline. Cross-sectional differences and the association between BrainAGE and risk of future conversion were replicated in OSTPRE. Importantly, adding BrainAGE to models including demographic, APOE4, cognitive, and MRI-derived measures consistently improved prediction of future cognitive outcomes, with the greatest benefit observed for individuals who converted after longer follow-up. These findings show that structural brain ageing begins to diverge years before the onset of MCI. BrainAGE captures this early divergence, providing complementary information beyond conventional structural MRI measures that may improve the early identification of cognitively normal individuals at increased risk of future cognitive decline when integrated with other biomarkers.

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Chart review and genetic validation of electronic medical record dementia diagnoses in VA: The impact of CMS data

Logue, M.; Lee, S. O.; Gillis, M.; Zhang, R.; Lee, M.; Marra, D.; Lopez, F. V.; Lynch, J.; Panizzon, M. S.; Tsuang, D. W.; Hauger, R. L.; The MVP Cognitive Decline and Dementia During Aging Working Group, ; Program, V. M. V.; Merritt, V. C.

2026-07-17 health informatics 10.64898/2026.07.14.26358063 medRxiv
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Background: International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes are often used in epidemiological studies to track disease rates over time. Objective: This evaluation of ICD-code-based algorithms for electronic medical record (EMR) studies of Alzheimers disease (AD) and related dementias (ADRD) examines the impact of incorporating Centers for Medicare and Medicaid (CMS) data as an additional source of diagnostic and treatment information in Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) EMR studies. Methods: We performed a chart review of 100 VA Million Veteran Program (MVP) participants to evaluate algorithm performance. We also assessed genetic associations across algorithms in a large MVP cohort (n=396k). Results: Adding CMS data increased the number of detected cases, sensitivity, and positive predictive value, but decreased specificity and negative predictive value. Genetic analyses showed that broader (ADRD/dementia) algorithms with just VA data performed similarly to narrow (AD-focused) algorithms incorporating both VA and CMS ICD codes. Additionally, narrow AD algorithms based solely on VA data yielded the highest ORs, indicating the largest proportion of late-onset AD cases. Conclusions: We recommend using a broad (ADRD) algorithm without CMS or medication data, particularly for epidemiological studies or a strict AD algorithm including CMS and medication cases for genetic discovery of late-onset AD associations in VA EMR, and a strict AD algorithm without CMS data for applications focused solely on AD and sensitive to misspecification. Careful evaluation of algorithm performance is warranted in different EMR systems, as ICD coding practices vary by institution, as demonstrated by this comparison of VA EMR and CMS data.

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Comparing Human and Large Language Model Responses to Patients Online Questions: Towards Multi-dimensional Patient-centered Support

Hussein, M. A.; Doshi, R.; He, L.; Reynolds, T.

2026-07-17 health informatics 10.64898/2026.07.15.26355314 medRxiv
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Patients and caregivers seek informational and emotional support throughout medical care, especially when interpreting unfamiliar laboratory test results. Although resources such as patient portals and online health communities (OHCs) help address questions, gaps remain. The emergence of large language models (LLMs) offers the potential to be a complementary source of support to assist patients and caregivers in understanding and using their test results. The objective of our study is to empirically compare LLM responses to patients online questions containing their laboratory test results to responses written by peers in an OHC. We compared the 519 peer replies to 122 laboratory test-related posts from an OHC to 488 responses generated from four LLMs using mixed computational and qualitative methods. LLMs frequently provided clear explanations of medical terminology and structured interpretations of numeric results but were longer and less readable. Peers offered more personalized, context-specific emotional support. Overall, LLMs have the potential to complement peer responses in OHCs, but require greater emotional depth, reasoning transparency, and alignment with community norms.